The estimate of EBITDA for the years 2010-12 has also been reduced by 11%, predicting a drop in cement consumption. And the broker, although expecting a recovery in international activity thanks to the dollar’s appreciation, is aware that the Spanish market still represents over 70% of Cementos Portland sales.
The investment bank appreciates the cost-cutting initiatives and the greater efficiency at the level of energy and manpower that have been realised. However, macro-economic circumstances do not help and it expects net debt / EBITDA for 2011 is placed at 5.5x.
Within the Spanish construction sector, OHL remains the favourite value for UBS, which retains its buy recommendation with a target price of EUR28.