The trade group sees demand for the building material dropping 5 per cent on the year to 48 million tons. Private-sector demand is expected to tumble 10.2 per cent to 22 million tons as the recession saps both plant and home construction. Public-sector demand, meanwhile, is seen holding steady at 26 million tons.
Cement exports are forecast to decline 7.4 per cent to 10 million tons, hurt by slowing economic growth abroad and a strengthening yen.