Cement News tagged under: carbon price
EUA rising by end of year, driven by compliance and higher coal and gas prices23 January 2023, Published under Cement NewsBy Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark There has been very little direct news in the carbon market, as political discussions of changes to the EU ETS are still ongoing, and are driven by the movements in the fuel market. However, the market, which had been stuck in the EUR65-75 range, broke out to the upside as year end is approaching and compliance buying and short positions closing from speculative trades have propelled the market upwards. From a warm winter the start of ... |
EUA prices consolidate at higher level awaiting policy decisions28 November 2022, Published under Cement NewsBy Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The increase in fossil fuels use for power generation is keeping the demand for EUAs relatively high. However, a mild winter start and a falling energy complex temper this trend. Therefore, a rally above EUR80 is not expected in the short term as an economic slowdown is expected to lead to demand destruction. Speculators have reduced their presence in terms of size and more short positions have been seen. The market is now awaiting politica... |
EUA prices stay low due to recession fears and political uncertainty in the market26 October 2022, Published under Cement NewsBy Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark European carbon emissions were up eight per cent in the first three quarters of 2022 when compared to 2021. This is based on the sharp increase in coal- and oil-driven power production. The political debate of repowering the EU and the potential selling of 250m allowances has been hanging over the market. Increased auctions and the lower production seen in several industries, combined with several speculators going short, kept the market... |
Carbon prices reflect demand destruction but kept up by increased coal consumption, awaiting new regulation24 August 2022, Published under Cement NewsBy Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Carbon prices tested the downside, due to fear of demand destruction and potential closing of production sites as a consequence of the lower gas deliveries. In addition to inflation, higher interest rates may dampen demand. However, in the short-term coal production has been increasing and several countries will reopen coal plants and even diesel is being used, increasing the demand for EUAs. Traders sold out when the price broke support a... |
Price in uptrend, volatile carbon market driven by political statements of changes to EU-ETS22 June 2022, Published under Cement NewsBy Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Carbon prices traded inside their uptrend channel within EUR82-95 with high volatility. As the Clean Dark Spread still offers best value, more coal is being used and more EUAs are bought for compliance. The EUA has been influenced by new statements for reform to the EU-ETS system and a bullish increase of the targets for emission reductions, which conflicts with the proposed auction of 250m EUAs to fund the required REPowerEU Plan – which s... |
Carbon prices rise due to increased coal demand – speculators return to the market31 May 2022, Published under Cement NewsBy Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Carbon prices rose above EUR85 as increased compliance buying was seen due to a sharp upturn of coal-fired power generation in the EU, resulting in an estimated 60Mt of additional emissions. The demand was three times higher than the auctioned amounts in the latest auction, significantly supporting the exchange traded market. The speculators, which disappeared during March, appear to have returned to the market following the rise in the... |
UK cement and lime producers excluded from compensation scheme06 May 2022, Published under Cement NewsThe Mineral Products Association (MPA) has expressed disappointment that UK cement and lime producers have been excluded from the government’s compensation scheme for climate change costs. Under the scheme, some energy-intensive industries can apply for compensation from the indirect costs of the UK Emissions Trading Scheme (UK ETS) and Carbon Price Support (CPS) if they meet the criteria. According to the MPA, by excluding cement and lime, “the government has missed an opportunity to suppor... |
Carbon reaches EUR100 in Cal23 – a new all-time high as power generation demands more coal and gas24 February 2022, Published under Cement NewsBy Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The EUA Dec 22 has set a new all-time high at EUR98.50, driven by real demand for compliance as especially coal but also gas are increasingly filling the gap left by a drop in nuclear-based power in France. To ensure sufficient baseload electricity, several coal-fired plants are being restarted. However, financial players continue to make up ~35 per cent of the market and are only buyers with a target towards EUR100. It will be interesti... |
Carbon returns to uptrend following retracement from all-time high in December27 January 2022, Published under Cement NewsBy Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The EUA Dec 21 saw an incredible 200 per cent rise during 2021 from EUR31 to EUR92. More recently, the market saw a sharp retracement down to EUR72 reflecting the energy complex as well as calls for measures against financial speculation. However, as a report concluded that no manipulation had been taking place, the market quickly started its uptrend again. Compliance buying increased as power producers are using more coal as this is the ch... |
CARBON: New records – now targeting €100 following increased physical and financial demand21 December 2021, Published under Cement NewsBy Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Before its expiry day, the EUA December 2021 contract reached a stunning EUR91.50 all-time high, less than 10 per cent from EUR100, a number only joked about three months ago. An increased demand due to coal being by far the cheapest fossil fuel and speculators pouring in, as mentioned in previous reports, cut through resistance points at EUR75 and EUR80. Speculators have been looking towards EUR80-100 and a 10 per cent profit taking too... |