Cement News tagged under: oil

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New sanctions push the energy complex higher while Russia offers huge discounts to non-sanction markets, keeping petcoke rise in check

21 June 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark New EU oil sanctions against Russia have again moved the energy complex higher, particularly oil and coal, as the EU now has to find new suppliers, leading to increased costs for end users. Moreover, the inflationary fall-out from the Ukraine-Russia war is now seen in all economies. The US Federal Reserve has turned to sharp rate increases and the European Central Bank (ECB) is now expected to start raising rates up to 125bp for the end ...

Oil prices up while coal and petcoke are stabilising

08 June 2022, Published under Cement News

Since ICR’s most recent energy report , the energy complex is awaiting the impact of sanctions on Russia and the risk of an economic slowdown. Oil prices increased to US$100-115 on the back of the EU’s potential sanctions on Russian oil. Coal is stabilising after rising on demand before the sanctions in August with Russia offering a discount. High-sulphur petcoke (6.5%) 40HGI FOB USGC – historical view 2007-22 Meanwhile, petcoke stabilised on a high discount on current le...

Potential new EU sanctions lift oil and coal but China lockdowns dampen demand – sharp drop in petcoke prices

30 May 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Another month driven by war in Ukraine, imminent EU sanctions pushing energy prices upwards, and central banks raising interest rates on the back of increased inflation pressures. As a result, analysts are fearing a recession with a potential fall in energy demand. However, the EU sanctions against Russia are starting to hurt European countries. In addition, strict COVID-19 lockdowns in China are also dampening domestic demand. As a result, p...

Energy complex awaits impact of sanctions on Russia

29 April 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Since ICR’s most recent energy report , the energy complex remains in range, awaiting the impact of sanctions on Russia. Oil is down on the release of 240mbl from the Strategic Petroleum (SPR) in the US and EIA countries, ranging between US$95-115. EU sanctions on Russian coal from August 2022 are driving coal higher. High-sulphur (6.5%, 40HGI) FOB petcoke price, historical view 2006-22: expected range US$165-200. Resistance at US$...

Oil falls after considerable release of reserves, coal rallies after EU sanctions and propels petcoke to new highs

25 April 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The markets were still firmly driven by any news from Russia’s war on Ukraine: peace talks will lead to a falling market while new sanctions increase upward pressure. The coal markets were extremely impacted by the EU ban on Russian coal imports from August. However, this will create opportunities for cheaper coal in countries not part of the embargo. The euro testing the lower part of the US$1.07-1.12 range is still also reflecting high...

Petcoke-coal discount returns to neutral zone

28 March 2022, Published under Cement News

Since ICR’s most recent energy report, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine sent shocks into the energy complex. While oil revisited its all-time high of US$140, it has since fallen to US$115/bbl. High-sulphur (6.5%, 40HGI) FOB petcoke price, historical view 2006-22 – Expected range US$175-225. Resistance at US$205, 235 and 250 while support to be found at US$175, 155, 115 and 100. Multi-year support. Meanwhile, coal was driven sharply higher on supply fears from Russia with ...

Russian invasion of Ukraine sends shockwaves into the energy complex with supply fears and sanctions

23 March 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark    Following Russia’s invasion into Ukraine, markets have been experiencing extreme volatility. In less liquid markets, such as petcoke, trade was virtually suspended in the first week after the invasion. Therefore, this report will diverge from its usual format. Table 1: Prices at a glance Crude oil (US$/bbl) 121.00 Coal API2 – 2Q22 (US$) 390.00 API2 – Cal...

Energy complex sees uplift on Ukraine-Russia conflict, but discounts are stable

24 February 2022, Published under Cement News

Since ICR’s most recent energy report , Russia’s recognition of the Donbas region in Ukraine and military move into it are lifting the energy complex. As no war has broken out at the time of writing, medium effects depend on political sanctions and the respect of borders. In the short term, oil is close to US$100. High-sulphur (6.5%, 40HGI) FOB petcoke price, historical view 2006-22 As coal pushes higher, petcoke prices are increasing. Discounts are stable in neutral zones. Th...

Geopolitical risk drives entire energy complex higher with oil at 8-year peak and coal supporting petcoke prices

19 February 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The euro rose sharply from US$1.1150 to US$1.1450 after the European Central Bank hinted that rate hikes were on the way, based on fear of higher inflation numbers. However, while it is expected to remain in the range of US$1.115-1.1600, volatility could arise depending on the geopolitical outcome after tensions increased when Russian troops amassed near the Ukrainian border, favouring a stronger US dollar. The Turkish lira stabilised be...

Ukraine-Russia tension lifts oil, gas and coal prices while petcoke discounts improve rapidly

04 February 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Since ICR’s most recent energy report , the geopolitical risk relating to Ukraine-Russia tension has lifted oil, gas and coal prices. The Indonesian exports, which results in taking out 25Mt of coal from the export market. In China prices continue to settle under the maximum level set by the NDRC. High-sulphur (6.5%, 40HGI) FOB petcoke price, historical view 2006-22 With coal prices higher again, petcoke is seen stabilising with ...