Cement News tagged under: oil

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Coal price find supports while petcoke sees sharp fall

01 May 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Oil prices support the full energy complex and OPEC+ announced new production cuts totalling 1.6mb/d. Oil prices have risen from US$72/bbl to a high US$88/bbl but are now in their former range of US$80-90/bbl at US$81/bbl. Coal prices are finding support among strong supply and are stabilising at US$132 for the API4 contract. As expected, petcoke prices have fallen sharply below US$100, the first time since 2021, with discounts compared to...

OPEC + surprise cut sends oil sharply higher, coal stable petcoke sliding sending discount back to neutral zone

26 April 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The story of inflation and central bank rate hikes continues. Inflation figures from the US were at five per cent in March, awaiting another 0.25 per cent hike from the Federal Reserve. The European Central Bank is also expected to raise rates as inflation remains high due to EU sanctions keeping energy prices relatively high to 2021 before sanctions. While banking problems have increased the fear of recession, China’s post-COVID opening up...

Very low petcoke discounts may lead to switch to coal

08 March 2023, Published under Cement News

The price of a barrel of oil has returned to the lower end of the US$80-88 range. Gas prices were also down on the back of warm weather forecasts and the Turkey-Syria earthquakes, which are cooling demand. Coal prices continue to slip lower, along with other sources in the energy complex, as the fear of recession persists. The stable price of petcoke and very low discounts are expected to lead to fuel switches towards coal. The 6.5 per cent S petcoke FOB contract sold at US$137 while t...

Oil in narrow range while coal continues lower – petcoke pressured lower as discounts fall sharply

28 February 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The markets are still dominated by hawkish statements from central banks due to the stubbornly high inflation both in the USA and Europe. Expectations see rates climb still higher and for a longer period. However, the good news is that a recession may be avoided. In the energy markets, the G7 round of new sanctions on Russian refined products do not seem to have had any major impact. The markets are locked between the China reopening and th...

Oil and coal are falling, petcoke climbs higher

23 February 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Another month with the European Central Bank (ECB) and the US Federal Reserve in focus: in the US the interest rate has been increased by 0.25 per cent while the ECB notched up the rate by 0.5 per cent. However, inflation seems stubbornly high. Therefore, it is expected that rates will increase further and remain high for some time with fears of a recession continuing albeit to a lesser degree. The IMF has adjusted global growth up by 0.2 per...

Petcoke prices rising on growing demand while coal is falling as supply increases

01 February 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvol, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark lAs China reopens, oil is finding support, seeing a recovery in oil prices to surpass the US$85 mark. The warm winter in Europe and lower gas prices are taking off the pressure for demand in the region. However, Russia’s discount is still in place for countries that do not sanction Russian gas supplies (China, India and Turkey). Meanwhile, coal prices are falling as supply increases and demand is dropping as the fear of recession impacts mark...

Energy demand drops, lowering oil, gas and coal prices with petcoke discounts back in neutral

26 January 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The central banks continued interest rate hikes with 0.50 per cent in December, promising more to come. This has led to greater expectations of recession and falling demand, and in combination with thin trading in December, the overall energy index has fallen. The EU has introduced windfall profits on power producers and maximum gas prices. In Europe the winter has also been unusually warm for December and January, lowering heating demand. ...

Winter and sanctions lifts coal and gas in Europe – petcoke discounts attractive again as petcoke drops slightly

18 January 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Inflation remains high and central banks continue to increase interest rates albeit at a slower pace. This has now led to widespread expectations of recession not only in the EU, which is hurt by energy sanctions, but also in the US as its Federal Reserve maintains a very aggressive stance. The oil market has fallen below US$80, but is decoupled from the gas and coal markets, which are disrupted by the energy sanctions on Russia. The inc...

Energy complex under interest rate pressure – coal falls sharply on lower demand while petcoke stable and discount neutral

20 December 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Leading central banks raised rates again by 0.75 per cent, with promises of more to come as inflation is persistent as sanctions are still keeping energy prices artificially high in Europe. The EU has not agreed on any common measures as these are very hard to introduce in a free market. However, the threat of demand destruction combined with a warm start to the winter has put pressure on the overall energy complex. Gas prices have been ...

Petcoke prices stable with lower discounts

02 December 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Since ICR’s most recent energy report, coal prices are rising due to supply disruptions and a colder winter in Europe. Russian discounts are still in place but reflect the rising costs of Russian producers. Oil is falling on fears of a new Chinese lockdown and demand destruction in the EU leading to lower growth. Steam coal and petcoke prices FOB Petcoke prices are stable as buyers from China and India are on hold, and discounts ...