Cement News tagged under: oil

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Energy complex under interest rate pressure – coal falls sharply on lower demand while petcoke stable and discount neutral

25 November 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Leading central banks raised rates again by 0.75 per cent, with promises of more to come as inflation is persistent as sanctions are still keeping energy prices artificially high in Europe. The EU has not agreed on any common measures as these are very hard to introduce in a free market. However, the threat of demand destruction combined with a warm start to the winter has put pressure on the overall energy complex. Gas prices have been fal...

Energy complex falls on slower economies and EU stock refill

11 November 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Since ICR’s most recent energy report, the energy complex is falling as higher yields slow economies and EU purchases have slowed following full stocks. Russia’s continued discounts on coal see prices slip with API4 coal now trading at US$238. Oil is stabilising above US$90 after OPEC+ cut supply by 2mbpd. In Europe gas prices have been slipping as reservoirs are being filled and the weather stays warm. Steam coal and petcoke prices FOB...

Coal and gas lower, while petcoke continues upwards, driven by demand from India and China

25 October 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The same geopolitical factors as last month are dominating the energy markets. The persistently-high inflation is driving the agendas of the central banks with higher interest rates, stating they will push even harder despite a looming recession. As industry and citizens save energy due to the high prices, demand in many markets is contracting sharply. Politicians are trying to introduce different measures in the EU to curb prices with wind...

Petcoke stops fall

12 October 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Since ICR’s most recent energy report, the energy markets are fearing an upcoming recession due to higher rates to curb inflation. Oil has fallen below US$90 despite OPEC+ decreasing output. Moreover, coal prices are also dropping despite European demand. API4 is currently at US$295. Meanwhile, Russia is offering large discounts, but the market continues to be driven by recession fears. Steam coal & petcoke prices FOB Petcoke pric...

Oil falling below US$90, coal and gas surge to new highs – petcoke may resume upward curve, but still buyers’ market

29 September 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The perfect storm has hit European energy end users, as EU sanctions against Russian energy exports are now backfiring in terms of prices and supply security. The EU is currently working on different packages to curb prices, but this will be extremely challenging if a free and market-based price structure is wanted. At the same time, drought and a reduction in nuclear power generation is adding to the severe supply situation as gas prices have...

Oil down but coal rising again as gas prices advance

02 September 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Since ICR’s most recent energy report , the energy complex is falling, led by oil, more interest hikes and the fear of recession. Oil prices are down due to lower demand expectations and a small increase in output by OPEC+. Meanwhile, the price of coal is rising again, driven by higher gas prices. API 4 coal costs now US$340. Russia continues to offer large discounts to non-sanction countries. High-quality coal is in demand in Europe, Colom...

Energy markets react to higher interest rates – coal demand surges to all-time high, petcoke now buyers’ market

18 August 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Inflation keeps rising and while central banks have started aggressive interest rate hikes to curb it, these may be too late. The IMF has revised global economic growth down, and fear of demand destruction is lowering energy prices. The US Federal Reserve increased its interest rates by 0.75 per cent and the European Central Bank followed through. Further hikes are forecast as inflation moves above nine per cent.   The US dollar strengthen...

Higher inflation and fear of recession impact energy complex

04 August 2022, Published under Cement News

Since ICR’s most recent energy report , the energy complex is trending lower due to higher inflation and the fear of recession. Higher interest rates are fuelling demand destruction. Russia is offering discounts to non-sanction countries, affecting the price of oil and coal. The price of oil was down sharply following the IEA report on falling demand, combined with the OPEC+ plan to increase production in August. Increased demand for coal in the EU is supporting the price of coal with highe...

Petcoke discounts higher as coal rises on EU sanctions and petcoke falls as demand-supply eases

22 July 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Energy markets are kept between higher prices due to supply distress, including strikes in refineries for higher wages and the impact of sanctions on Russia. In addition, pressure from inflation rates at 40-year highs is leading to higher lending interest rates and a potential recession. This will lead to lower demand in the cement and other sectors. The US Federal Reserve increased rates by 0.5 per cent and more hawkish actions are likely...

Energy complex moves in range with petcoke discounts increasing

08 July 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Since ICR’s most recent energy report , the energy complex has moved in range, awaiting the impact of sanctions on Russia and the risk of an economic slowdown. However, the threat of EU sanctions on Russian oil pushed up oil prices in the range of US$105-120, but prices have since fallen back as high inflation and interest rate increases have sown considerable doubts on growth going forward. Coal has been stabilising after rising demand w...