Cement News tagged under: carbon market

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Carbon price in range with new changes to EU-ETS and increased coal demand supporting prices

21 July 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Carbon prices remained as expected inside the uptrend channel of EUR82-95 with high daily volatility. Russian cuts in natural gas deliveries sent gas prices sharply higher, increasing compliance buying for higher coal burn. The EUA has seen new negotiations on the reform to the EU-ETS system all being bullish. The main elements now to be discussed in the European Council are: • increase in the linear reduction factor (LRF) to 4.2 from 2.2 ...

Price in uptrend, volatile carbon market driven by political statements of changes to EU-ETS

22 June 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Carbon prices traded inside their uptrend channel within EUR82-95 with high volatility. As the Clean Dark Spread still offers best value, more coal is being used and more EUAs are bought for compliance. The EUA has been influenced by new statements for reform to the EU-ETS system and a bullish increase of the targets for emission reductions, which conflicts with the proposed auction of 250m EUAs to fund the required REPowerEU Plan – which s...

Carbon prices rise due to increased coal demand – speculators return to the market

31 May 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Carbon prices rose above EUR85 as increased compliance buying was seen due to a sharp upturn of coal-fired power generation in the EU, resulting in an estimated 60Mt of additional emissions. The demand was three times higher than the auctioned amounts in the latest auction, significantly supporting the exchange traded market. The speculators, which disappeared during March, appear to have returned to the market following the rise in the...

EU emissions rose 9% in 2021 with market in range trading – less financial participation

26 April 2022, Published under Cement News

The EU ETS verified numbers for 2021 showed a 1.333Mta rise compared to 1.233Mta in 2020, which was the first increase since 2017, reflecting a higher use of coal and even diesel in the fuel complex. The higher coal price may reduce the compliance demand, but this depends on the price for gas substitution. The financial participants in the market are down 85 per cent YoY in April 2022 and combined with a lower trading volume, this has set a narrow trading range. The market may see so...

Largest fall ever as financial players liquidate positions, or are forced to close – return to compliance levels

24 March 2022, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark After reaching EUR98.50, the EUA Dec 22 has fallen to EUR68, representing a 30 per cent drop. This came in reaction to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the turbulence in all financial markets. As discussed last issue, financial players were taking profit and new margin calls from losses in other markets sent the EUA in a sell mode. Furthermore, rumours indicate that several large Russian trading companies sold EUAs to get cash, having...