Cement News tagged under: petcoke

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Petcoke discount falls sharply, energy complex rises driven by oil

22 August 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The fight against inflation is still the focus point for the US Federal Reserve Bank and the European Central Bank, which both raised interest rates by 0.25 per cent in July. This impacted equity markets as the IMF came out with a slower global GDP forecast for 2024, down 0.5 per cent to three per cent. However, new Chinese promises of boosting the economy have taken some of the fear out of the energy markets, which have seen a recovery ...

Freight rates drifting lower after short rebound

22 August 2023, Published under Cement News

By Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The USG Supramax spot freight market started the month on a strong note. Rates were rising across all routes as a region was supported, especially on fronthaul directions, which were dominated by petcoke trades. However, in the second half of the month, rates started slipping below the previous levels due to limited fresh demand, while tonnage continued to pile up for spot/prompt laycan dates. Therefore, the hope for market recovery did not materialise in July. ...

Petcoke continues rally with discounts into neutral zone

03 August 2023, Published under Cement News

by Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Coal rallied from US$100, driven by the energy complex as oil broke through the US$80 barrier following new cuts by OPEC+ in July 2023. Meanwhile, petcoke continues its rally after hitting the major support of US$65, and reached its target of US$85. At US$88, is now close to resistance at US$90 with discounts to coal falling sharply into the neutral zone. Further points of resistance are US$95, US$105, US$115 and US$135. Support is at US$85,...

Petcoke on the rise, driven by higher coal prices and high discounts – new OPEC cuts support oil

21 July 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The holiday mood has dampened the volatility in most markets and the dominant factor is the fear of low demand due to slower growth as central banks keep raising interest rates to bring inflation down. The European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rates again. Following the general elections, the Turkish Central Bank raised rates by 6.5 per cent to 15 per cent in a new inflation focus. Talks between the USA and China have released the te...

Freight rates remain weak on low demand

20 July 2023, Published under Cement News

By Brannvoll ApS, Denmark USG Supramax spot freight market activity was limited with rates continuing to slide. Fresh cargo replenishment was slow, resulting in charterers lowering their bids on fronthaul and transatlantic routes. There were a few petcoke requirements towards India and the Far East, but the market suffered from a notable lack of grain cargoes. Figure 3: Supramax freight rates for petcoke from Houston, USA, March 2019-August 2023 (Source: Brannvoll Aps) Freigh...

Petcoke seen as cheapest fuel as up first time in 17 weeks

07 July 2023, Published under Cement News

by Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark Oil is stabilising following an intervention from Saudi Arabia with cuts as negative sentiment persists. Coal has settled above US$100, but plenty of supply to the market. Nevertheless, a higher price is expected. Petcoke dropped to US$65, but after 17 weeks, it is now seen as the cheapest fuel and price is moving up. While the discount remains in neutral, its position at the high end points to a move to the cheap zone. Steam coal an...

OPEC+ actions lift oil and the energy complex – coal and petcoke fall to 2020 levels on lower demand

30 June 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The markets are still caught in the fear that higher interest rates to fight inflation could start a recession and see demand fall. The market expects both the US Federal Reserve and European Central Bank to increase rates but at a slower rate to enable current levels to take effect. The US debt ceiling agreement reduced market fears and saw equities rise. Geopolitical tensions are looking towards Taiwan where US and Chinese navies are conduct...

Petcoke and coal prices fall while oil is stabilising

31 May 2023, Published under Cement News

Oil prices are stabilising after a new drop despite OPEC+ production cuts. At its next meeting, scheduled for 4 June 2023, OPEC+ may consider new interventions if oil stays below uS$75. A large supply of coal is exerting a downward pressure on coal prices while low gas is testing the US$100 mark. Petcoke prices continue their drop, driven down by lower coal prices, ample supply and buyers holding back as they wait to see how low petcoke prices will fall. Steam coal and petcoke pri...

Freight rates stabilise on optimistic outlook

30 May 2023, Published under Cement News

By Brannvoll ApS, Denmark The first half of the month looked inspiring for shipowners. The USG Supramax spot freight market improved with rates showing considerable spikes. Demand was healthy, especially for fronthaul trips, due to tonnage being tight for spot laycan dates and fronthaul. But in the second half of the month the market was already pausing for breath after a rate spike and tonnage supply started to build while demand remained flat. Eventually, the rates decreased amid a d...

New slide in oil pushing coal lower and petcoke below US$100 due to demand fears after new rate hikes

22 May 2023, Published under Cement News

By Frank O. Brannvoll, Brannvoll ApS, Denmark IMF downgraded global growth to 2.8 per cent and warned of a “rocky recovery” due to inflation and falling demand. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) continued the interest rate hikes with a further 0.25 per cent, leading to rates of 5.25 and 3.75 per cent for the Fed and ECB, respectively, and market fears of falling demand. Combined with the usual US debt ceiling theatre, this has sent the equity market and e...